When it all begins

When what begins? Whatever, it doesn’t matter.
During a crisis aka event, SHTF, scenario, or whatever you want to call it, loads of people will go into instant brain lock.

Some will just wander round not taking any of it in,
A few will just stand in shock and awe.
There may be a few running around in panic not knowing what to do.
(That would be TPTB).

Bottom line? You may one of only a few thinking clearly!

The initial assessment of what has happened and what you need to do to survive demands you to react quickly, concisely, and paying due regard to the Rules of Three.

Only what are you going to do if
your plans fail at the first hurdle?

Take bugging out.
You all grab your GO bags, everyone gets into the vehicle (pre-packed with everything), you open the garage door, TO THE TRAFFIC JAM FROM HELL!

trafficjam

The very action of fleeing in your vehicle or even a ‘ordered evacuation’ will overload the roads in next to no time. You’ll probably end up sat there and going NOWHERE.
OK, now what. Will you choose to abandon your vehicle with all its goodies?

It’s decided that you swap onto plan B. Bug out on foot.
Except now the roads and public areas are hopelessly blocked as everyone is doing the same and you might come across this, a people jam and you still ain’t going anywhere soon.

peoplejam
Too many people on foot is self-limiting to how fast everything moves.
Even if it turns into a “column” of people, the average speed on foot is unlikely to exceed 2 mph. Don’t forget there are other forms of transport besides vehicles like trains, ferries, air, and even the humble bicycle and horse. Only if TPTB try to “assist” everyone, almost immediately things will grind to a halt. Such is the organisational capabilities of the state.

Plan C now kicks in.
Your final choice and least preferable choice may have been to bug in aka shelter in place.
With exiting the city limits not an option, the whole family en-mass decide to return home. Only after hours of push and shove, you may end up turning the corner to get back to your neighbourhood and these guys won’t let you pass.

Their job is to evacuate you NOT let you hunker down.

accesscontrol

Murphy’s Military Law has words of wisdom about this:-
No OPLAN ever survives initial contact OR any revisions made in haste.

Only what you going to do then? Personally I just S.T.O.P.

  • Sit Down – Literally (Only make sure it’s safe to do so).
    Rule of three,
    3 seconds without adequate cover in a hostile environment.
    3 minutes without good air.
  • Think
    About what you want to achieve and in what time frame.
    Is it to keep trying to get back home?
    Or find alternative temporary cover until the mass transit numbers subside?
    Explore other ways like walking the rails, storm drains, or even the sewers?
    Would you need additional equipment for these?
    If you do, where are you going to source it from?
    Can you keep to your original time frame?

    What are the dangers and difficulties that have stopped you?
    Floods, CBRN, Riots, or even Aliens?
    Probably the main reason will be TPTB.
    Rule of threes,
    3 seconds without adequate cover in a hostile environment.
    3 minutes without good air.
    3 hours without adequate shelter and controlling your environment.

  • Observe
    So that’s looking around and being acutely situationally aware,
    Scanning for hazards, and looking at what resources are around you.
    Working out safe access, transit, AND egress routes in case things turn bad.
    Looking for cover if you have to move in or through a hazardous area.
    Looking where to place resources for defense or to cover your future movements.
    Assessing your loads against what is happening, the terrain, and desired speed of movement.
  • Plan.
    Now you’ve taken time out, thought about it, assessed your needs and equipment, re-ordered your priorities or made a decision on what you want to do next, NOW you can PLAN!

Only sometimes you can’t S.T.O.P. can you?
Taking a time out could be extremely hazardous, especially in a violent or CBRN situation.
Thus even with good training (military or other) you may just have to “wing it” aka improvise aka make decisions on the run.

Sometimes you will just have to react and hope for the best.
Gets a bit tough round about then doesn’t it.

A few words of wisdom from a wise man I once knew.
He was talking about working within a mixed ability force in a combat scenario.
As most survival is a fight for life, it think it’s applicable.

Once a OPLAN gets screwed, and even if you have adequate backup and fire support, giving up your life for someone else isn’t noble it’s stupid.
Especially if you are in charge and / or the most skilled at combat or survival.

Ordinarily the most skilled will be in charge and without the skilled guiding the others, many may die.

If the task in hand calls for a specialist skill set, then that person may lead temporarily, but there can be only ONE PERSON IN CHARGE and that must be the most skilled.

Who lives and who might die?

In combat nothing is certain.
sgtrock

You may all be Sgt. Rock clones but bullets aren’t fussy about who goes down.
Bombs and CBRN are even less discriminating and men bleed just as well as women and children.

In survival occasionally the most unlikely survive while the experts have been known to die first. As for the “women and children first” mantra? That very Old British ‘stiff upper lip’ mindset. Terrorists may agree with that though and regularly drive them into harms way first using them as weapons or shields with the scum shooting from behind them.

Watcha going to do about that eh !?! (Anyone getting mad yet?)

A lot of discussion has been made about who is to be given priority when it comes to survival. It is a very emotive subject and does evoke VERY STRONG emotions in people.
Within a group, it was important for everyone to understand the importance of this subject and I strongly advocate this being discussed before any event occurs.

For example.
If someone is unable to continue.
Or becomes a threat to the groups security, safety, and coherence.
Or becomes a burden to the group as a whole.
In transit, or a critical situation, and to save the most you can, someone may have to be left behind.

Only that someone shouldn’t be the knowledge, the skill, or the personnel who can support and guide the others to safety. Does that mean I’m talking about the survival of the fittest above morals, ethics, religion, compassion, or whatever? Yep.

So that’s a discussion you need to have as come a time when speed can save lives, or resources are limited, like it or lump it, it’s a decision that might have to be made so you better be ready for it.

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5 Responses to When it all begins

  1. yokel. says:

    first off, NOT living in a city is the first start,many people think that living in a city means they’ll get resupplied first because of sheer weight of numbers, so they stay put.
    secondly, within a very short time frame people will start suffering from lack of food, if no clean water then this will happen even quicker, pretty soon people aren’t going to be fit enough to go anywhere and will just collapse where they are.
    if one is already living away from the big urban centres-and many of us are- the best option may be to hunker down and wait for the big “die off” to take place, then reappraise.
    forget about army or police in the UK, they haven’t got enough to “police” the whole country even if they wanted to, they will concentrate their forces on London and the other large multicultural cities.
    in the South West in an emergency it is well known we will be left to get on with it as best we can, that is a well known fact.

    Liked by 1 person

    • I know the benefits of city living well having been a freegan AND living on the streets.

      You may not have picked up on although I started off “bugging out” (the popular prepper myth), I ended up trying to return home. The three standard prepper / survivalist myths expended i.e. drive, walk, and shelter in place.

      Unhappily without vehicle and probably a load of gear.

      Short of a city being made uninhabitable by a CBRN or natural phenomenon, “IF” I was still living in a city, it would hold no fear for me with the more people streaming out the better off I’d be. Contrary to popular myth, although the shops will have been stripped, empty houses will still have goodies, warehouses will be the last thing people will take on, and medical supplies (for what I need) will be abundant.

      Those left would be isolated and not a great problem to the experienced forager and I don’t fully buy into feral gangs roving a whole city looking for people to annihilate. They will remain within their ‘hood, their seat of power.

      As for the people in the SW.
      Having lived in Plymouth for a while, it was a happy snappy situation if you even SAW a policeman although one police car did seem to live at the back of the fish and chippy all night. Very strange.

      Like

      • yokel. says:

        re police in the south west, your remark is so true, most rural police stations will be closed within the next 5 years(2020), after that the only place you’ll see a copper will be in the cities of which there are only 2 in Devon, Exeter and Plymouth.

        Liked by 1 person

  2. jlm990 says:

    Reblogged this on Azweaponcraftprepper and commented:
    Although this is from and excellent U.K.based blog, the principles certainly apply here in the US.

    Liked by 1 person

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